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Prior predictive checking: especially seasonal burden #251

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SamuelBrand1 opened this issue Sep 24, 2024 · 0 comments
Open

Prior predictive checking: especially seasonal burden #251

SamuelBrand1 opened this issue Sep 24, 2024 · 0 comments
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enhancement New feature or request experiment some sort of experiment to better understand a part of the model

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@SamuelBrand1
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I was wondering if there was any prior predictive checking for the covid model(s)?

@tjhladish and I were talking about bringing the seasonal burden into the posterior distribution, which would effectively penalise extremely a priori unlikely outcomes. However, before assessing that it would be good to understand what the model parameter priors currently imply about likely/unlikely a priori outcomes.

Good reference: this classic https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.01808

@SamuelBrand1 SamuelBrand1 added the enhancement New feature or request label Sep 24, 2024
@arik-shurygin arik-shurygin added the experiment some sort of experiment to better understand a part of the model label Oct 17, 2024
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Labels
enhancement New feature or request experiment some sort of experiment to better understand a part of the model
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