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Bulldozer-sales-price-prediction

Predicting the Sale Price of Bulldozers using Machine Learning

1. Problem Definition

How well can we predict the future sale price of a bulldozer, given its characteristics and previous examples of how much similar bulldozers have been sold for?

2. Data

Downloaded from Kaggle Bluebook for Bulldozers competition:

The data for this competition is split into three parts:

  • Train.csv is the training set, which contains data through the end of 2011.
  • Valid.csv is the validation set, which contains data from January 1, 2012 - April 30, 2012 You make predictions on this set throughout the majority of the competition.
  • Test.csv contains data from May 1, 2012 - November 2012. Your score on the test set determines your final rank for the competition.

3. Data

The evaluation metric for this competition is the RMSLE (root mean squared log error) between the actual and predicted auction prices.

For more on the evaluation of this project check: https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/bluebook-for-bulldozers/overview

Note: the goal for most regression evaluation metrics is to minimize the error. Likewise, our goal for this project will be to build a ML model which minimizes RMSLE.

4. Features

Kaggle provides a data dictionary detailing all of the features of the dataset. You can view this data dictionary on Google sheets: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/181y-bLR8sbDJLITkWG7ozKm813RyieQ2Fpgix-beSYI/edit?usp=sharing

Feature Importance

Feature importance seeks to figure out which different attributes of the data were most importance when it comes to predicting the target variable (SalePrice).

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