Repository regarding the CRRC blog on EU expectations
The blog can be read at: https://oc-media.org/features/datablog-georgians-increasingly-optimistic-about-joining-the-eu/
In the blog, and in these scripts, I attempted to analyse the newly published Knowledge and Attitudes of the EU survey. Given the short scope required for blogs, I only focused on data and to get a clear statistical analysis of EU expectations. However, there is a lot to take out from here, for instance:
- Language as a gateway to access political discourse, and thus the notion of Georgia being able to easily enter the EU.
- Ignorance of EU processes, regardless of level of education, as regressions also showed that high level of educations did not predict lower levels of false expectations.
- There are even more questions to be asked regarding the impact of news and disinformation in the expectation towards the EU.
- Finally, for the future, it will be useful to look at the impact of false expectations, when Georgia fails to join the EU in less than 5 years. In the time series data we can see that there is a sudden crash in EU expectations and EU support following the Ukraine war... will we see the same crash in 5 years when Georgia applies to the EU? If so, will this turn into an internal crisis?