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romainsacchi committed May 3, 2024
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`pathways` is a Python package that characterizes the environmental impacts of products, sectors or transition scenarios
over time using Life Cycle Assessment (LCA). Compared to traditional scenario results from energy models, `pathways`
provides a more detailed and transparent view of the environmental impacts of a scenario by resolving supply chains
between producers and consumers (as an LCA does). Hence, direct and indirect emissions are accounted for, and
between producers and consumers (as LCA does). Hence, direct and indirect emissions are accounted for, and
double-counting issues are partially resolved.

`pathways` is initially designed to work with data packages produced by `premise` [@Sacchi:2022], but can be used with any Integrated
Assessment Model (IAM) scenarios and LCA databases. It reads a scenario and a corresponding set of scenario-based LCA matrices and calculates the
environmental impacts of the scenario (or a subset of it) over time.
`pathways` is initially designed to work with data packages produced by `premise` [@Sacchi:2022], but can be used with
any Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) scenarios and LCA databases. It reads a scenario and a corresponding set of
scenario-based LCA matrices and calculates the environmental impacts of the scenario (or a subset of it) over time.

# Statement of need

IAMs, frequently based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), offer cost-optimized projections of future scenarios,
highlighting, for example, the necessary changes in regional electricity mixes and different means of transport to meet
global warming objectives [@Riahi:2017]. This scenario analysis exercise enables us to predict future system changes
and their effects on the environmental performance of different technologies along the different supply chains. In this context,
prospective Life Cycle Assessment (pLCA) emerges as a unique tool to provide a robust evaluation of the environmental
performance of both existing and anticipated production systems. At the methodological level, [@Sacchi:2022] has recently
laid the foundations for extending present-day process-based life-cycle inventory into the future using the output
from IAMs. Meanwhile, most efforts in pLCA have been centred around improving the ability to forecast future life cycle
inventories accurately.
IAMs, frequently based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), offer cost-optimized projections of future scenarios.
These scenarios highlight, for example, the necessary changes in regional electricity mixes and different means of
transport to meet global warming mitigation objectives [@Riahi:2017]. This scenario analysis exercise enables us to
consider future system changes and their effects on the environmental performance of different technologies
along the different supply chains. In this context, prospective Life Cycle Assessment (pLCA) emerges as a unique tool
to provide a robust evaluation of the environmental performance of both existing and anticipated production systems.
At the methodological level, [@Sacchi:2022] has recently laid the foundations for extending present-day process-based
life-cycle inventory into the future using the output from IAMs. Meanwhile, most efforts in pLCA have been centred
around improving the ability to forecast future life cycle inventories accurately.

At this juncture, performing an LCA of the transition scenarios using the updated life cycle inventories at each time step
uncaps excellent potential to improve the sustainability assessment of these scenarios. LCA would expand the
conventional focus on GHG emissions to broader environmental impacts, such as land use, water consumption, and toxicity while considering direct
and indirect emissions. However, running LCAs of the transition scenarios provided by IAMs -or energy system models - at
the system level remains challenging. Mainly because of the computational expense of running LCAs for each time step and
region of each scenario and the methodological complexity of consistently defining the functional unit of the LCA based
on the IAMs outputs while dealing with issues such as double-counting. `pathways`, using the LCA framework `brightway2` [@Mutel:2017]
and building on `premise`, offers a solution to these challenges by providing a tool to evaluate the environmental impacts
of transition scenarios systematically.
conventional focus on GHG emissions to broader environmental impacts, such as land use, water consumption, and toxicity
while considering direct and indirect emissions. However, running LCAs of the transition scenarios provided by IAMs -
or energy system models - at the system level remains challenging. Mainly because of the computational expense of running
LCAs for each time step and region of each scenario and the methodological complexity of consistently defining the
functional unit of the LCA based on the IAMs outputs while dealing with issues such as double-counting.
`pathways`, using the LCA framework `brightway2` [@Mutel:2017] and building on `premise`, offers a solution to these
challenges by providing a tool to evaluate the environmental impacts of transition scenarios systematically.

# Description

Expand All @@ -86,6 +86,8 @@ of transition scenarios systematically.
# Acknowledgements

The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support from the Swiss State Secretariat for Education, Research and
Innovation (SERI), under the Horizon Europe project PRISMA (grant agreement no. 101081604).
Innovation (SERI), under the Horizon Europe project PRISMA (grant agreement no. 101081604). The authors also thank the
Swiss Federal Office of Energy (SFOE) for the support in the development of the `premise` and `pathways` tools through
the SWEET-SURE program.

# References

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